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Modeling the Consequence of Multi-Intervention Campaigns for the Spread of Malaria

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Modeling the Consequence of Multi-Intervention Campaigns for the Spread of Malaria


Fekadu Tadege Kobe | Tigabu Abera Nune | Nuriye Hakima Kadiso



Fekadu Tadege Kobe | Tigabu Abera Nune | Nuriye Hakima Kadiso "Modeling the Consequence of Multi-Intervention Campaigns for the Spread of Malaria" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-4 | Issue-5, August 2020, pp.1168-1178, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd33048.pdf

This paper proposes and analyses a basic deterministic mathematical model to investigate Simulation for controlling malaria Diseases Transmission dynamics. The model has nine non-linear differential equations which describe the control of malaria with two state variables for mosquitoes populations and five state variables for humans population and to introduce the new SPITR model for the transmission dynamics of malaria with four time dependent control measures in Ethiopia Insecticide treated bed nets (ITNS), Treatments, Indoor Residual Spray (IRs) and Intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in pregnancy (IPTP). The models are analyzed qualitatively to determine criteria for control of a malaria transmission dynamics, and are used to calculate the basic reproductionR_0. The equilibria of malaria models are determined. In addition to having a disease-free equilibrium, which is globally asymptotically stable when the R_0<1, the basic malaria model manifest one's possession of (a quality of) the phenomenon of backward bifurcation where a stable disease-free equilibrium co-exists (at the same time) with a stable endemic equilibrium for a certain range of associated reproduction number less than one. The results also designing the effects of some model parameters, the infection rate and biting rate. The numerical analysis and numerical simulation results of the model suggested that the most effective strategies for controlling or eradicating the spread of malaria were suggest using insecticide treated bed nets, indoor residual spraying, prompt effective diagnosis and treatment of infected individuals with vaccination is more effective for children.

Malaria, Basic reproduction number, Backward bifurcation analysis and Vaccination


IJTSRD33048
Volume-4 | Issue-5, August 2020
1168-1178
IJTSRD | www.ijtsrd.com | E-ISSN 2456-6470
Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)

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