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Forecasting the Number of Unemployment in Bali Province using the Support Vector Machine Method

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Forecasting the Number of Unemployment in Bali Province using the Support Vector Machine Method


Imelda Alvionita Tarigan



Imelda Alvionita Tarigan "Forecasting the Number of Unemployment in Bali Province using the Support Vector Machine Method" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-1, December 2020, pp.1443-1446, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd38242.pdf

Unemployment has an impact on economic development in Indonesia. Bali is one of the provinces in Indonesia which has had a high unemployment rate in the last 13 years. Forecasting the number of unemployed in Bali Province is needed so that government policies can more optimally handle unemployment. This study aims to forecast the number of unemployed in the next five years. The method used is the Support Vector Machine because it is capable of forecasting a certain time series or time series. The data used are unemployment data from 2007 to 2019. The results of the analysis in this study show that the best SVM kernel type for forecasting the number of unemployed is radial. This type of kernel is used because it shows the smallest error value, namely MSE 0.007022, MAE 0.071292, and MAPE 23.24%. Forecasting results in the coming year an increase in the number of unemployed people from 2020 to 2024.

Unemployment, Time Series, SVM


IJTSRD38242
Volume-5 | Issue-1, December 2020
1443-1446
IJTSRD | www.ijtsrd.com | E-ISSN 2456-6470
Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)

International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development - IJTSRD having online ISSN 2456-6470. IJTSRD is a leading Open Access, Peer-Reviewed International Journal which provides rapid publication of your research articles and aims to promote the theory and practice along with knowledge sharing between researchers, developers, engineers, students, and practitioners working in and around the world in many areas like Sciences, Technology, Innovation, Engineering, Agriculture, Management and many more and it is recommended by all Universities, review articles and short communications in all subjects. IJTSRD running an International Journal who are proving quality publication of peer reviewed and refereed international journals from diverse fields that emphasizes new research, development and their applications. IJTSRD provides an online access to exchange your research work, technical notes & surveying results among professionals throughout the world in e-journals. IJTSRD is a fastest growing and dynamic professional organization. The aim of this organization is to provide access not only to world class research resources, but through its professionals aim to bring in a significant transformation in the real of open access journals and online publishing.

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